Improving the Image of Future for the Elderly of 2050, Scenario Based

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. Student of Sport Management, IAU, Mashhad Branch, Iran

2 Professor, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran.

3 Associate Professor, IAU, Mashhad Branch, Iran.

4 Professor, University of Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

Purpose: Population aging is a phenomenon requiring attention. Any decision and action in this regard should be based on future image(s). Scenario planning is a way of thinking about the future and its focus is often on the possible images.The overall goal of this research is to identify and analyze the interactive and affective variables and key propellants affecting future images of the older using interactive effects analysis.
Method: This article is applied research based on use; In terms of the nature is exploratory research; In terms of data collection is descriptive-survey and according to application is classified within futures studies.
Findings: The findings in this study were extracted by using the Micmac software and interaction analysis that identified 12 subjective patterns and key factors such as personal and organizational learning, effective training, and localization of successful aging models. Personal skills, social networks, income and wealth distribution processes, demographic changes, customs changes, work force, financial stability, individualism, individual flexibility.
Conclusion: Generally, the authorities in the field of aging can be aware of the extent and importance of each of the variables mentioned, pay serious and operational attention to these factors, and be able to plan well and reasonably, in not far away future, it will not be neglected and ready for it.
 

Keywords

References

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Journal of Iran Futures Studies
Volume 4, Issue 2 - Serial Number 7
March 2020
Pages 229-261

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