Global Trends in Science and Technology and the futures studies of Higher Education in Iran: Priorities and Strategies

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Faculty Member, Foresight Department, Institute For Social And Cultural Studies

Abstract

Purpose: The higher education system, like other sections of Iranian society, is strongly influenced by the changes taking shape and taking place in the global sphere. The reflection of these changes can be seen in a range of constructive and destructive influences. The purpose of this article is to find out how to deal with these changes and the degree of readiness to take advantage of opportunities and reduce the impact of threats from change requires foresight. The occurrence of a crisis such as Covid-19 pandemic indicates that being affected by changes is a universal principle and it includes all societies, regardless of the level of development of the countries and the difference is in the extent to which it is affected by the change and influences its process. Therefore, the main question of this article is: what priorities and strategies for the futures studies of higher education research in Iran should be considered in the face of global changes in science and technology?
Method: Trend analysis in the study of global developments in science and technology; interview, brainstorming, and expert panel for receiving the opinion of experts of the Iranian scientific and technological community regarding the future developments of higher education in Iran; scenario method for presenting alternative futures have been used.
Findings: The results show that there will be four determinants of the future of higher education in Iran at the same time: social responsibility and accountability of the institution of science; achieving national and international reputation and influence; transformation in education and participatory governance.
Conclusion: From a futures studies point of view, stakeholder participation in identifying factors of change, visioning futures, and how to create preferable future situations are key factors in the validity and reliability of the data obtained. In other words, reality, social responsibility, and future-orientation alongside data-driven decision-making are essential for the governance of higher education in Iran.

Keywords

Main Subjects


Adefila, A., & Pillay, P. (2019). Collaborative learning in the Fourth Industrial Revolution: implications for an African RenaissanceJournal of Gender, Information and Development in Africa (JGIDA)8(Special Issue 2), 151-160.
Bagshaw, Eryk. Universities 'lobbied strongly' for travel ban exemption for students. The Sydney Morning Herald February 11, 2020. Available at: https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/universities-lobbied-strongly-for-travel-ban-exemption-for-students-20200211-p53zqc.html
Burrows, Mathew J., Gnad, Oliver(2020). “Anticipatory Governance: The Role of Futures Studies in Regaining the Political Initiative” pubulished in  Slaughter, R., & Hines, A. (2020). The Knowledge Base of Futures Studies 2020. 2020 Association of Professional Futurists and Foresight International. Available at: https://www.bureau-fz.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/The-Knowledge-Base-of-Future-Studies-2020.pdf
Camrass, K. (2020), "Regenerative futures", Foresight, Vol. 22 No. 4, pp. 401-415. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-08-2019-0079
Cann, Oliver. The Reskilling Revolution: Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Education for a Billion People by 2030. World Economic Forum: 22 Jan 2020. Available at: https://www.weforum.org/press/2020/01/the-reskilling-revolution-better-skills-better-jobs-better-education-for-a-billion-people-by-2030/
Carayannis, E., Grebeniuk, A., & Meissner, D. (2016). Smart roadmapping for STI policyTechnological Forecasting and Social Change110, 109-116.
Cuthbertson, Anthony. Elon Musk claims AI will overtake humans 'in less than five years. The Independent. 27 July 2020. Available at: https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/elon-musk-artificial-intelligence-ai-singularity-a9640196.html
Faraskhah, Maghsoud (2010). University and Higher Education: Global Perspectives and Iranian Issues. Tehran: Ney. (in Persian)
Fatemi, M., Arasti, M. (2019). Priority-Setting in Science, Technology and Innovation. Journal of Science and Technology Policy, 12(2), 119-133. (in Persian)
Gates, Bill. COVID-19 is awful. Climate change could be worse. The Gates Notes LLC. August 04, 2020. Available at: https://www.gatesnotes.com/Energy/Climate-and-COVID-19?WT.mc_id=20200804100000_COVID19-and-Climate_BG-TW_&WT.tsrc=BGTW
GetSmarter. The Role of Artificial Intelligence in the Future of Education. March 29, 2019. Available at: www.getsmarter.com/blog/market-trends/the-role-of-artificial-
HolonIQ. 2021 Global Learning Landscape: Mappint the future of education. 2020, Available at: www.globallearninglandscape.org
HolonIQ. 2021 Global Learning Landscape: Mappint the future of education. 2020, Available at: https://www.globallearninglandscape.org
Holstein, K., & Doroudi, S. (2021). Equity and Artificial Intelligence in Education: Will" AIEd" Amplify or Alleviate Inequities in Education?. arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.12920.
Inayatullah, S., & Sweeney, J. A. (2020). From Strategic to Transformative Foresight: Using Space to Transform TimeWorld Futures Review, 1946756720971743.
Islamic Parliament of Iran(2016). Sixth Development Plan, Available at: https://rc.majlis.ir/fa/law/show/101454(in Persian)
Kollosche, I., & Florian, A. (2021). Guidelines for scenario building process. Available at: www.dignity-project.eu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/Deliv_2.3_IZT_20210217_final.pdf
Leader of Islamic Republic of Iran(2014). General policies of science and technology. Available at (in Persian): www.leader.ir/fa/content/12395/www.leader.ir
Mahdi, R., Keykha, A. (2021). Relative Satisfaction from Employability of graduates of Iranian technical and vocational colleges. Karafan Quarterly Scientific Journal, 17(Special Issue), 217-231. (in Persian)
Martin, Ben. Foresight in Science and Technology. Technology Analysis. 1995: 7. 139-. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/09537329508524202
Miles, Ian & Keenan, Michael. Practical Guide to Regional Foresight in the UK. European Commision: 2003. Available at: https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/e4e7728e-fd41-4d12-a030-0cbd851707d0
Ministry of science and technology(2020). The 30th meeting of the presidents of the country's major universities on "reviewing the budget of 1400 universities". Tabriz University. Available at: https://tabrizu.ac.ir/fa/news/13113
Mwiti, Derrick. How Artificial Intelligence is Shaping the Future of Education. Jan 18,2019. Available at: https://medium.com/@mwitiderrick/how-artificial-intelligence-is-shaping-the-future-of-education-ffcf910e0877
OECD(2019), Trends Shaping Education 2019, OECD Publishing, Paris, Available at: https://doi.org/10.1787/trends_edu-2019-en
OECD(2021), Trends Shaping Education. Retived in 5 Jun 20121. Availabl at: www.oecd.org/education/ceri/trends-shaping-education.htm
Paya, A. (2018). Critical rationalism as a theoretical framework for futures studies and foresight. Futures, 96, 104-114.
Peddle, Brian; The Future of AI and Education. March 15, 2019 . Available at: https://www.aitimejournal.com/@brian.peddle/the-future-of-ai-and-education
Ramos, Gabriela & Hynes, William(2020). A systemic resilience approach to dealing with Covid-19 and future shocks. OECD Policy Responses to Coronavirus (COVID-19). Available at: https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/view/?ref=131_131917-kpfefrdfnx&title=A-Systemic-Resilience-Approach-to-dealing-with-Covid-19-and-future-shocks
Rosa, A. B., Kimpeler, S., Schirrmeister, E., & Warnke, P. (2021). Participatory foresight and reflexive innovation: setting policy goals and developing strategies in a bottom-up, mission-oriented, sustainable wayEuropean Journal of Futures Research9(1), 1-15.
Saldana, Johnny(2016). The Coding Manual for Qualitative Researchers. Translated by Abdollah Givian. Tehran: Elmi-Farhangi.[in Persian]
The Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution(2010)Comprehensive Scientific Map of Iran. Available at: https://sccr.ir/Files/18073.pdf)in Persian(
Tomlinson, M., Chopra, M., Hoosain, N. et al. (2011). A review of selected research priority setting processes at national level in low and middle income countries: towards fair and legitimate priority settingHealth Res Policy Sys 9, 19. https://doi.org/10.1186/1478-4505-9-19
Unesco, & Schlegel, F. (2015).UNESCO science report: towards 2030. Translated by Ismaeil Yazdanpoor,Tehran: ISCS. [in Persian]
University of New York in Prague(UNYP). Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Education. 2019. Available at: https://www.unyp.cz/news/artificial-intelligence-and-future-education
Utkin, D. V., Bagramyants, N. L., & Safyanov, V. I. (2021, June). Foresight Strategic Forecasting Technology in Higher Education. In 1st International Conference on Education: Current Issues and Digital Technologies (ICECIDT 2021) (pp. 279-285). Atlantis Press.