نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری علوم سیاسی،گرایش جامعه شناسی سیاسی،دانشکده حقوق،الهیات و علوم سیاسی،واحد علوم و تحقیقات،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ،تهران ،ایران
2 استادیارگروه علوم سیاسی،دانشکده علوم انسانی،واحد زنجان ،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،زنجان ،ایران
3 استادمدعوگروه علوم سیاسی،دانشکده حقوق،الهیات و علوم سیاسی،واحد علوم و تحقیقات،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ،تهران ،ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Purpose: If the rulers have a positive view of the activities of social networks, the activities of these networks will expand and increase people's participation in political affairs and elections. If the managers of the community have a negative view of the activities of these networks, they will have political participation in the future by preventing the activities and expansion of these networks
Method: The present research is of analytical-descriptive type with a futuristic approach that has been used by Peter Schwartz's screenwriting method.
Findings: After examining the influential factors and drivers in the future of social networks and political participation, the main uncertainty - as determining factors and with low uncertainty - in future social networks and political participation has been identified, which is: 1-Opinions and views of rulers on the use of social networks.2-The approach and attitude of the rulers towards political participation. Now, considering the above two uncertainties, five scenarios are possible 1- Positive view of rulers on social media activities and participation Political 2- The positive view of the rulers on social networks and opposition to political participation, 3- The negative view of the rulers on social networks and participation with political participation 4- The negative view of the rulers on social activities and political participation 5- The rulers' view on participation and social political networks as an opportunity and a threat.
Conclusion: If the managers and those involved in running the country have a positive view on the activities of social networks, the activities of these networks will expand and increase people's participation in political affairs and elections. If the negative view of the activities of these networks is dominated by community leaders, we will see a decline in political participation in the future by preventing the activities and expansion of these networks.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
)