Strategic Foresight for Smart Cities Management in 1415: A Case of Study in Rasht

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Phd Student in Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran

2 IKIUProfessor in Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran

3 Associate Professor of Urban Development Engineering, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran

4 Associate Professor of Urban Planning Department, Guilan University, Rasht, Iran

5 Assistant Professor in Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran

Abstract

Abstract
Objective: Urban management in the current decade is associated with many complexities in the political, social, economic, environmental, legal, technical and technological issues. The city of Rasht, as one of the important metropolises of Iran is facing complicated and different issues in urban management toward its development process. The use of new technologies in the form of smart cities can be considered as a solution for the city of Rasht. To achieve the smart city in the horizon of 1415 in accordance with the upstream documents (provincial planning document in the horizon of 1415 and national model document in the horizon of 1444), it is necessary to use forward-looking tools to create a preferred and desirable future with the participation of all key stakeholders. This study tries to identify and prioritize the drivers of the smart city with a strategic foresight approach and explain the potential scenarios in 1415.
Method: The research is a combination of descriptive-analytical and survey which was conducted by using panel of experts (Delphi), cross-effect analysis using Mic Mac and scenario planning with scenario wizard.
Findings: In the present study, nine basic drivers in the realization of smart cities were extracted and three potential scenarios for Rasht in the horizon of 1415 have been explained.
Conclusion: According to the results of the present study, the scenario of "return of the golden age of Rasht" as a smart city was achieved in the horizon of 1415 as a desirable scenario.

Keywords

References

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Journal of Iran Futures Studies
Volume 9, Issue 1 - Serial Number 12
September 2024
Pages 93-134

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