The Futures of Yazd Province in the Competition for Technological Convergence

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD in Management, Yazd Province General Government, Yazd, Iran

2 MSc. in Executive Management, Saman-Avaran-Toseeh Co, Yazd, Iran

3 Assistant Professor of Industrial Engineering, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran

4 Instructor, Islamic Azad University Yazd Branch, Yazd, Iran

Abstract

Purpose: The present study aims to identify and explain the futures of Iranian provinces in the competition for the development of NBIC technological convergence (synergy between nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology and cognitive sciences) with a focus on Yazd province.
Method: This research, which has been conducted with a qualitative and descriptive approach, is classified as an exploratory futures-study. In this way, the relevant research records were first reviewed to compile a list of drivers in the development of convergent technologies. The list was then refined and prioritized to identify two key drivers, with the Delphi process attended by fourteen experts. By intersecting the uncertainties of these two drivers, four scenarios of the province's future in technological convergence competition emerged.
Findings: The two key drivers affecting the success of the province in the competition for convergent technologies are: the rate of development of the innovation ecosystem and the amount of financial resources allocated to this process. Based on this, four scenarios of the future situation of the province in this field were identified, which have been named as "Vanguard", "Buyer", "Remnant" and "Hired".
Conclusion: In order for the provinces to be able to succeed in the forthcoming competitions in the production and operation of convergent technologies, it is necessary to plan for strengthening the ecosystem infrastructure from now; at the same time, it is necessary to make efficient efforts to provide sufficient financial resources for the research and commercialization of these technologies.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

Aegerter, A. & Benziger, A.S. (2015) Study the Effect of Internet on the Human Abilities in Future. International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences, 2 (5): 1-5.
Akaev, A.A. & Rudskoi, A.I. (2015) A Mathematical Model for Predictive Computations of the Synergy Effect of NBIC Technologies and the Evaluation of Its Influence on the Economic Growth in the First Half of the 21st Century. Doklady Mathematics, 91 (2): 182-185.
Alford, K.; Keenihan, S. & McGrail, S. (2012) The Complex Futures of Emerging Technologies: Challenges and Opportunities for Science Foresight and Governance in Australia. Journal of Futures Studies, 16 (4): 67-86.
Amiri, H. & Nilipour-Tabatabaei, S. (2021) Uncertainties and Future Scenarios of Iran's Crude Oil and Its Economic Implications for 2035 Horizon. Journal of Iran Futures Studies, 5(2): 255-281. (in Persian)
Azadi- Ahmadabadi, G. & Soltani, A. (2018) The Convergence of Technologies in Published Articles of Iranian Researchers during the Period 2001-2015: Word Mining Approach. Journal of Science and Technology Policy, 11(2): 2-12.(in Persian)
Bainbridge, W. S. (2007) Converging Technologies and Human Destiny. Journal of Medicine and Philosophy, 32 (3): 197-216.
Bainbridge, W.S. & Roco, M.C. (2016) Science and Technology Convergence: with Emphasis for Nanotechnology-Inspired Convergence. Journal of Nanopart Researches, 18 (211): 1-19.
Canton, J. (2004) Designing the Future: NBIC Technologies and Human Performance Enhancement. Annals New York Academy of Science, (1013): 186-198.
Caviggioli, F. (2016) Technology Fusion: Identification and Analysis of the Drivers of Technology Convergence using Patent Data. Technovation. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2016.04.003
Ciașcin, N., Skrebțova, E., & Smaliko, P. (2021). Analysis of ethical problems and potential risks of convergent nbic-technologies (on the example of Covid-19 pandemic). In Sănătatea, medicina și bioetica în societatea contemporană (pp. 60-65).
Dotsenko, E. (2017) NBIC-Convergence as a Paradigm Platform of Sustainable Development. The Second International Innovative Mining Symposium. DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/20172104013.
Gnatik, E.N. (2021) New Normality of the Covid-19 Era: Opportunities, Limitations, Risks. RUDN Journal of Sociology, 21 (4): 769–782.
Gorman, M. (2004) Collaborating on Convergent Technologies. Annals New York Academy of Sciences, (1013): 1–13.
Hassan Beigi, I. & Einolqozati, A. (2015) Convergent Technologies in Enhancing the IRI's Defensive Power. Strategic Defense Studies, 13(60): 27-52. (in Persian)
Helbing, D., & Ienca, M. (2022). Why Converging Technologies Need International Regulation. Available at SSRN 4183791.
Jeong S. & Lee S. (2015) What Drives Technology Convergence? Exploring  the Influence of Technological and Resource Allocation Contexts. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, (36): 78-96.
Kalantari, E. & Montazer, G. (2021) Converging evolutions in the future of science and technology: A comparative study of United States, Russia and China. Management Research in Iran, 22(1): 241-274. (in Persian)
Kamensky, E. G. (2015) Context of NBIC-Technologies Development: Institutions, Ideology and Social Myths. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 6 (6 S4): 181.
Kargar-Shouroki, H.; Mirghafoori, S.; Soltani, A. & Zare-Ahmadabadi, H. (2020) A Futures Study on Convergent Administrative System in Iran. Quarterly Journal of Public Organizations Management, 8(31): 151-166. (in Persian)
Kargar-Shouroki, H.; Mirghafoori, S.; Zare, H. & Soltani, A. (2018) A Futures Study on Iran’s Administrative System influenced by convergent technologies. Iranian journal of management sciences, 13(50): 106-133. (in Persian)
Kargar-Shouroki, H.; Mirghafoori, S.; Zare-Ahmadabadi, H. & Soltani, A. (2020) A Future Study on Impact of Convergent Technologies on Ideal Model of Iranian Administrative System. Future study Management, 30(4): 1-21. (in Persian)
Khan-Ahmadi, M.; Farhoud, D.; Ranjbar, B & Malmir, M. (2016) Ethics in Convergence of Science and Technology. Ethics in science and Technology, 11(2): 1-10. (in Persian)
Khushf, G. (2007) The Ethics of NBIC Convergence. Journal of Medicine and Philosophy, 32 (3): 185-196.
Management and planning organization of Yazd province (2020) land survey document of Yazd province. Tehran, National Program and Budget Organization. (in Persian)
McCreight, R. (2013) Convergent Technologies and Future. Strategic Studies Quarterly, (4): 11-19.
McIntosh, D. (2010) Transhuman Security Dilemma. Journal of Evolution & Technology, 21 (2): 32-48.
Moqimi A. (2015) Future epistemology of theoretical approaches to urban planning, architecture and building industry. Urban Management, 12(38): 75-104. (in Persian)
Moradipour, H.; Hajiani, E. & Dastani, M. (2020) Investigating the Cross Impact of the Driving Forces of Iran's science and technology parks. Public Management Researches, 13(49): 135-164. (in Persian)
Nabipour, I. & Assadi, M. (2015) Converging technologies: shaping the future of medicine. Iran South Medicine Journal, 17(6): 1045-1067. (in Persian)
Nabipour, I. (2019) A Roadmap Draft for Converging Technologies in the Universities of Medical Sciences to Achieve Scientific Authority. Iranian Journal of Culture & Health Promotion, 3(1): 65-79. (in Persian)
Nordmann, A. (2004). Converging Technologies: Shaping the Future of European Societies. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities.
Nordmann, A. (2007) Knots and Strands: An Argument for Productive Disillusionment. Journal of Medicine and Philosophy, 32 (3): 217-236.
Pahomova, A., Halasz, S., Fedorchuk, V., Zelenkova, G., & Pakhomov, A. (2020). NBIC-convergence in production systems. In E3S Web of Conferences (Vol. 210, p. 11003). EDP Sciences.
Paya, A.; Bahrami, M.; Shoraka, H. & Tabatabaei, S. (2011) Future Evaluation of the Impact of Convergent Science and Technology on Ethics, Society, and Politics in Iran until 1404. Rahyaft, 21(49): 19-27. (in Persian)
Rahmani, A.; Najafi, S. & Karimi, M. (2019) An Introduction to the Criteria for Selecting Leading Knowledge. Iranian Journal of Information processing and management, 34(2): 487-516. (in Persian)
Roco, M.C. (2007) Possibilities for Global Governance of Converging Technologies. Journal of Nanopart Researches, DOI 10.1007/s11051-007-9269-8
Saniejlal, M. & Hoseini Moghadam, M. (2020) The Role and Place of Internationalization in Shaping Future of Nano Technology in Iran. Journal of Iran Futures Studies, 5(1): 25-48. (in Persian)
Sedighian, M.; Hirani, F.; Moinuddin, M. & Babaei-Meybodi, H. (2021) Identifying and Categorizing the Effective Drivers Shaping the Future of Accounting Education in Iran using the EPISTLU Model. Journal of Iran Futures Studies, 6(1): 265-290. (in Persian)
Sghafi, F.; Ali-Ahmadi, A.; Ghazi-Nori, S. & Horali, M. (2015) Develop and identify possible & plausible eGovernment services scenarios in Iran by 1404, Journal of Information Technology Management, 7(22): 49-68. (in Persian)
Swierstra, T.; VanEst, R. & Boenink, M. (2009) Taking Care of the Symbolic Order: How Converging Technologies Challenge our Concepts. Nanoethics, (3): 269-280.
Tabatabayan, H.; Qaderifar, I.; Eliassy, M. & Bamdad-Sufi, J. (2019) The Emerging Knowledge base Business Technology Commerce Pattern. Journal of Innovation and Value Creation, 7(13): 25-39. (in Persian)
 
Journal of Iran Futures Studies
Volume 7, Issue 2 - Serial Number 13
January 2023
Pages 279-308

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics