Leisure foresight of the elderly based on the physical activity approach (layered causal analysis method)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Education

2 Assistant Professor, Department of Physical Education and Sports Sciences, Qazvin Azad University, Qazvin Branch, Iran

3 university

Abstract

Purpose: Factors such as improving living conditions, increasing life expectancy and lifespan in the elderly have led to an increase in the elderly in various societies, including Iran and old age has more leisure than youth due to age conditions and reduced work activity ratio, Therefore, the aim of this study was to foresight the leisure time of the elderly based on the physical activity approach.
Method: Using the model of causal layered analysis, in four levels of litany analysis, social causes, discourse and worldview and myth, this research investigates the approach of the layered causal method to the problem. Therefore, by studying the sources in the research literature, interviewing sports and futures research experts and using causal layered analysis, describes the problem four levels.
Findings: causal layered analysis of the elderly's leisure was defined by the physical activity and exercise approach with 27 indicators and showed that the existence of problems at the four levels is necessary in order to take a more comprehensive look at the nature of problems and issues and to create intellectual order in a structured confrontation with problems.
Conclusion: The results showed that in order to plan and accurate policies to meet the needs of the elderly especially in the field of sports and physical activities in the form of leisure, attention to the layer of discourse and myths and metaphors causes the set of constructive actions in these layers to solve some issues at higher levels lead to a bedrock for active Elderly.

Keywords


Amer , M., Daim , T.U., & Jetter, A. (2013). A review of scenario planning. Futures , 46, 23-40.
Baldwin, Robert C. Edmund, C. Kernels, Nora G. (2002). Guidelines on depression in older person. London: pundit publisher.
Coll Black S,  Bhushan  A, Fritsch  K. (2007). Integrating poverty and gender into health programs: A Sourcebook for health professionals. Nursing & Health Sciences. 9(4): 246-53.
Conway , M(2016). Foresight infused strategy development: a how-to guide for using foresight in practice, Thinking Futures؛ 1 edition.
Darabi, S.and M. Torkashvand, LatifiGh. (2012). Economic and social consequences of population aging in iran 1950-2050. persian.ketab-e mah-e Oloum Ejtemai. 16(58): 17-28.
Dionigi RA . (2016). The competitive older athlete: A review of psychosocial and sociological issues. Top Geriatr Rehabil؛ 32: 55-62.
Fadaei M. (2007). Urbanization, media and social health. Research and assessment: (149).8, Persian.
Farshad M, Kalantar Kooshe M, Farahbakhsh k. (2015). The role of psychological in promoting family mental health, Second National Conference on Sustainable Development in Educational Sciences and psychology, Social and Cultural Studies, Tehran, Islamic Studies and Research Center, Soroush Hekmat Mortazavi, Mehr Arvand Higher Education Institution ,Center for Sustainable Development Strategies 2015. persian.
Goleman D.HBR. (2018). Emotional Intelligence Series. Boston, Massachusetts: Harvard Business Review press.
Herring MP, O connor PJ, Dishman RK. (2010). The effect of exercise training on anxiety symptoms among patients: A systematic review. Archives of Internal Medicine. 170(4): 321-31.
Inayatulla, Sohail, (2007). Questioning the Future: Methods and Tools for Organizational and Societal Transformation, Tamkang University press: Graduate Institute of Futures Studies.
Inayatullah, S .(2013). Ageing: alternative futures and policy choices. foresight, 5(6): 8-17
Inayatullah, Sohail. (2008). Six Pillars: Futures thinking for transforming. Foresight, 10(1): 4-21.
Jenkin, C. R. Eime , R. M. Westerbeek , H. O Sullivan, J.G. (2017). Sport and ageing: a systematic review of the determinants and trends of participation in sport for older adults.BMC public health , 17(1), 976.
Jiao , H., Wei, J., & Cui, Y. (2010). An empirical study on paths to develop dynamic capabilities: From the perspectives of entrepreneurial orientation and organizational learning. Frontiers of Literary Studies in China , 4(1) , 47-72.
Jordan Deneau, paula M. Van Wyk & Sean Horton. (2019). Capitalizing on a " Huge Resource" :Successful Aging and physically active leisure Perspectives from Older Males. Routledge :Taylor & Francis Group,Department of kinesiology ,University of Windsor ,Ontario, Canada.
Lee-Wen, P. Tsai-chung , L(2016). The effectiveness of regular Leisure time Physical activities on long-term glycemic control in People with type to diabetes: A Systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabetes research and clinical practice, (113): 77-95.
Nyiri, Lajos. (2003). Foresight as a Policy-making Tool, Technology Foresight for Organizers, Ankara, Turkey.
Oh, J, .kim, H.S, Martins, D., & Kim, H(2006). A study of elder abuse in Korea. Intentional journal of Nursing Studies, 43(2): 203-214.
Sarkisian CA, Prohaska TR , Wong MD, Hirsch S, Mangione CM. (2005). The relationship between expectations for aging and physical activity among older adults. Journal of General Internal Medicine. 20(10): 911-5.
Satoshi Seino, Akihiko Kitamura, Yui Tomine, Izumi Tanaka, Mariko Nishi, Yu Taniguchi, Yuri Yokoyama, Hidenori Amano, Yoshinori Fujiwara, and Shoji Shinkai. (2019). Exercise arrangement is Associated With Physical and Mental Health in Older Adults. Tokyo Metropolitan institute of Gerontology,  35-2 Sakae,  Itabashi,  Tokyo: 173-0015.
Soury, A., Shabani Moghadam , K & Soury, R.(2016). The Effect of Physical activity on quality of life in elder women in Kermanshah province.Appl Res Sport Manage ,4(16:( 75-84.
Sun F.  Norman IJ,  While AE. Physical activity in older people: a systematic review. BMC Public health.13 (1): 449.32.
The World Leisure Organization.(2009- 2014). Enhancing the human condition. Priorities and Strategies. p.22.
Worled health organization. (1996). Elderly health Translators: Shidefar MR. Shaghaghi AR. Tehran: Siavash Publishing:1996.
Worled health organization. (2018). Global Consultation on Integrated Care for older people (ICOPE) The path to Universal Health Converage: Report of Consultation Meeting. Berlin, Germany, Switzerland: Worled health organization, Course DoAaL؛ 2018 WHO/FWC/ALC/183.2018