Application of artificial intelligence capabilities in the process of strategic foresight

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Supreme National Defense University and Strategic Research, Tehran, Iran

2 Supreme National Defense and Strategic Research, Tehran, Iran

3 Professor, Department of Governance and Future Studies, University of Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Purpose: Complementarity of the relationship between artificial intelligence and humans is one of the important points that can increase the decision-making capacity in complex environments. This is possible due to the modern capabilities of artificial intelligence in the analysis of big data, meaningful collective intelligence and cognitive computing. A possibility that by designing intelligent algorithms can help to optimize the decision and real-time decision-making in a complex and dynamic environment. This article tries to know how to use the capabilities of artificial intelligence such as predictive decision making to face complex problems in environments with high uncertainty. How will AI capabilities impact future research with a particular focus on foresight and future design?
Methodology: In terms of type classification, this research is considered as applied and developmental research. Research approach is qualitative and exploratory and targeted sampling is used. The analysis method is based on qualitative analysis.
Findings: This research has achieved an improved model of strategic foresight based on capabilities of artificial intelligence by examining the Voros model and adapting the capabilities that artificial intelligence has created now or will provide in the future.
Conclusion: By examining the capabilities of artificial intelligence and the actual impact of artificial intelligence on the field of strategic foresight, a new model has been presented in the combination of artificial intelligence and the Voros foresight model. This model can imply the use of artificial intelligence in strategic foresight and guarantee the prevention of future surprises created by artificial intelligence for foresight.

Keywords

References

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