نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشگاه عالی دفاع ملی، پژوهشکده آماد، فناوری و عرصه های نوپدید، تهران، ایران
2 استاد، دانشگاه عالی دفاعی ملی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Purpose: The purpose of this research is to study the systematic dimensions of "weak Signals (WS)" detection. based on theoretical framework of socio-technical systems (STS) and by combining the soft systems methodology (SSM) and Viable systems model (VSM), conceptual design of a system for WS detection in the field of technology in Iranian governmental organizations is explored.
Method: This research is a qualitative research in terms of methodology. according to the case of study in this research, it is applied-developmental research. Based on Minger’s approach, SSM-VSM model is used to design the expected socio-technical system of WS detection. The Methods including Library method, in-depth Interview and Expert Panel and Charrette approach, as an evolutionary approach in data analysis and design are used.
Findings: The importance and strategic position of WS is neglected in Iranian organizations. Iranian managers has less interest in identifying WS and analyzing their consequences to make strategic decisions. In order to detect WS, Iranian organizations need to develop and strengthen socio-technical infrastructures. for this, the structural, functional and procedural conceptual design of the system are presented in this research.
Conclusion: Identifying and exploring WS of change in addition to machine approaches, including Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Deep learning, fundamentally needs expert networks developments including official and virtual networks in Iranian organizations. Technology Watching abilities needs the development and strengthening of systematic infrastructures, especially Socio-Technical systems.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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