نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری شهرسازی، دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه بین‌المللی امام خمینی (ره)، قزوین، ایران
2 کارشناس ارشد برنامه‌ریزی شهری و منطقه‌ای، دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران
3 استادیار گروه شهرسازی، دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه بین‌المللی امام خمینی(ره)، قزوین، ایران
4 پژوهشگر دکتری شهرسازی، دانشکده هنر و معماری، دانشگاه یزد، یزد، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Objective: Currently, we are facing the migration of people from the central plateau of Iran to the northern provinces due to the drought phenomenon. The current problems are caused by the lack of knowledge of the future. To put it more clearly, current crises and problems are the most justified reason to think about the future. For this reason, the current research aims to study the future of the impact of migration to Gilan province.
Research methodology: In this research, the method of mutual effects analysis has been used. For this purpose, at first, a questionnaire was designed to obtain the events related to the subject under study.
Findings: By refining and summarizing the questionnaires of the first stage, 14 events were identified. Then another questionnaire was designed and the previous steps were repeated to measure the mutual effects. Finally, by analyzing and categorizing the events, the classified areas in the Cartesian map were defined, as the influence and dependence of the mutual effects of the events.
Conclusion: The Cartesian map of the impact and dependence of the mutual effects of 14 events studied in this research showed that 4 events are in the category of dominant and decisive events. 6 events are grouped in the category of key events and relays. 2 events are grouped in the category of neighboring events (independent variables), 2 events in the category of regulating and intermediate events, and 2 other events in the category of resulting and dominated events.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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