نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
شرکت سامان آوران توسعه، یزد، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Objective: The study aims to provide a clear picture of the futures that will emerge as a result of the establishment of administrative complexes in a ten-year period for Iran's Administrative System.
Method: This qualitative study can be classified in the group of exploratory future researches، which is structured with a developmental nature and a survey orientation in a ten-year time horizon. The central tool in this research is the future wheel, and with its help، the findings obtained from interviews with nine experts of the country's administrative system have been analyzed.
Results: Analyzing the data collected in the research, the most important positive effects and adverse consequences of the establishment of county administrative complexes on administrative system's productivity in four main areas (including political-administrative; economic-financial; social-cultural; technical-technological) has counted; In addition to that, it introduces the series of consequences expected from this phenomenon in five levels، which will lead to two main scenarios including "crowdsourcing of government" and "government based on artificial intelligence".
Conclusion: The contribution of the study is to focus on the introduction of positive and negative trends that determine the status of administrative system productivity, which none of the previous researches have provided an analysis of its effectiveness on the policy of building administrative complexes. Based on the results, it is recommended to the relevant authorities to compile an appendix on the productivity of the regulations for the establishment of administrative complexes, as well as to plan for the establishment of a security unit in complexes.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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