Scenario planning for drinking water crisis management in Kerman city

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. student of Geography and Urban Planning, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.

2 Assistant Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Department of Human Geography, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.

3 Assistant Professor of Climatology, Department of Natural Geography, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.

Abstract

Objective:, the present study deals with the scenario development of drinking water crisis management in Kerman city.
Method: The present study is descriptive-analytical in nature and method and applied-developmental in purpose. The information was collected through library and field studies. The statistical population of the study includes experts in the relevant field, 35 of whom were selected as the sample size by the two-stage Delphi method. The data were analyzed using the Mic-Mac software, Scenario Wizard, and the SWOT technique.
Results: The results of the environmental survey indicate 30 key factors in drinking water management, of which 12 drivers and factors were selected as key factors, including a high level of public awareness of water consumption, proper use of water by citizens, prevention of excessive migration from surrounding villages and cities to Kerman city, equal use of water resources by citizens, a coherent water pricing system, elimination of illegal branches, replacement of worn-out water transmission pipes, use of non-potable water in green spaces, development of large-scale and long-term water-related programs, proper water management, and media advertising. In the Scenario Wizard software, 3 scenarios (warning, golden, and disaster) were selected, and the golden scenario, as the desired and intermediate scenario, can help manage drinking water in Kerman city.
Conclusion: Kerman citizens, with low culture and excessive greed, have fueled the water crisis without considering the importance and scarcity of water. These citizens have the least cooperation with the city administration. However.

Keywords

References

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Journal of Iran Futures Studies
Volume 9, Issue 2 - Serial Number 12
February 2025
Pages 110-142

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